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Comey’s Testimony: Truth or Lies?

December 12, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Key revelations from former FBI director’s testimony

The recent congressional testimony by former FBI Director James Comey has caused no shortage of outrage over his lack of recollection and ongoing deflections.

But lost within that outrage have been a number of important facts that were actually communicated during his testimony.

Comey’s interview was notably not under oath, but he was required by law to answer questions from Congress truthfully, which has suddenly gained material weight after special counsel Robert Mueller prosecuted former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen, for lying to Congress.Continue Reading

Nine Days in May: The Quiet Struggle Between Rosenstein and McCabe

December 8, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

On Dec. 7, 2018, CNN published an article discussing events in the eight days following the May 9, 2017, firing of former FBI Director James Comey by President Donald Trump. Comey was fired after a recommendation letter written by Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, titled Restoring Public Confidence in the FBI, was delivered to the president.

The CNN article was a rehash of two prior articles from the New York Times and the Washington Post that claimed Rosenstein had discussed wiretapping Trump, though CNN did provide increased emphasis on the fact that then-Acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe opened an obstruction of justice investigation into Trump in the days following Comey’s firing.

Left out of the CNN article, however, are a number of critical facts, not the least of which is that much of what was being described came from memos written by McCabe, who is now the focus of a grand jury investigation.Continue Reading

Flynn’s Sentencing Memorandum Reveals New Investigations

December 6, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Special counsel Robert Mueller’s long-awaited sentencing memorandum in the case of Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, who had pleaded guilty to one count of lying to the FBI, was finally made available on Dec. 4. Notably, Mueller recommended no jail time for Flynn, noting his “substantial cooperation and other considerations.”

Of particular note were the specific items Flynn was cooperating on with the special counsel, as outlined in the sentencing memorandum.Continue Reading

The Common Thread Behind Four Investigations

December 1, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

If anyone tells you they are tired of nothing happening in regards to ongoing investigations, perhaps they should take a closer look at a number of events that have transpired over the last two days.

In a matter that caused no small amount of worry and consternation among supporters of President Trump, the Daily Caller reported on Nov. 29 that the FBI had raided the home of whistleblower, Dennis Nathan Cain.Continue Reading

Manafort’s Deripaska Connections and Waldman’s Role in the Assange Negotiations

December 1, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

The Guardian published an article on Nov. 26 saying that former Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort met with Wikileaks founder Julian Assange in 2013, 2015, and again in 2016. Citing unnamed sources, The Guardian also reported that Manafort’s association with Assange could go back as far as 2012.

Manafort denied the accusations in a statement: “I have never met Julian Assange or anyone connected to him. I have never been contacted by anyone connected to WikiLeaks, either directly or indirectly. I have never reached out to Assange or WikiLeaks on any matter.”

Julian Assange, through a series of tweets sent by WikiLeaks, said the meetings did not occur.Continue Reading

Is Mueller Probe of Manafort Actually Looking Into Russian Oligarch Deripaska?

November 21, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Russian billionaire who hired Christopher Steele in 2012 previously interacted with FBI’s Andrew McCabe and DOJ’s Bruce Ohr in quest for visa into US

Paul Manafort is the subject of two criminal trials, one in Virginia and one in Washington.

The Virginia trial is related to various financial crimes, including tax evasion, bank fraud, and money laundering, while the Washington trial is related to violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, money laundering, and witness tampering.Continue Reading

The Rosenstein Memo

November 13, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein appointed former FBI Director Robert Mueller on May 17, 2017, as special counsel “to investigate Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election and related matters.”

Rosenstein, on Aug. 2, 2017, secretly issued Mueller a revised Scope of Investigation & Definition of Authority memo that remains heavily redacted. The full purpose of this memo remains unknown.Continue Reading

Acting AG Whitaker, Mueller’s Investigation, and the Rosenstein Memo

November 8, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Attorney General Jeff Sessions resigned on Wednesday, Nov. 7, at President Donald Trump’s request.

Sessions was replaced on an acting basis by Matthew G. Whitaker, who had been serving as Sessions’s chief of staff.

Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, however, remained in his current position.Continue Reading

Questions for George Papadopoulos

November 7, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

George Papadopoulos formally joined then-candidate Donald Trump’s presidential campaign on March 21, 2016, as a foreign policy adviser specializing in the Middle East and Israel. He would later become a central figure in the Trump–Russia collusion narrative.

Papadopoulos was targeted by a number of individuals beginning in March 2016—and perhaps earlier. British and Australian officials were involved, as were U.S. intelligence agencies. Many of the targeting attempts seem to have been efforts to establish evidence of collusion with Russia. They appear to have all failed.Continue Reading

Bongino’s Papadopoulos Interview – With Transcript

November 5, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

George Papadopoulos gave an in-depth, hour-long interview on the Dan Bongino Show.

It’s highly worth your time. Given the length and sheer number of details, it may be even more significant in readable form. A transcript has been painstakingly compiled below.

Papadopoulos is quoted directly and in full throughout the interview. Bongino’s questions and comments have been summarized – although they remain direct quotes. This format gives proper context to the discussion while keeping the focus fully on Papadopoulos.Continue Reading

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Jeff Carlson is a CFA® charterholder.

He worked for 20 years as an analyst and portfolio manager in the High Yield Bond Market. He holds degrees in finance and economics.

He can be found on X (Twitter) at @themarketswork or on Substack at Truth Over News

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