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Four Major Blows to the Credibility of the Steele Dossier

December 19, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

With the current flow of news it’s become easy to miss some intriguing details that serve to highlight an underlying theme: The Steele Dossier has been debunked.

Christopher Steele is currently involved in litigation in a British Court where he is being sued for defamation by three Russian bankers for claims Steele made in the Dossier that Alfa Bank had meaningful ties to Russian Leader Vladimir Putin. In his most recent responses to the Court, Steel made a rather startling admission:Continue Reading

Was Strzok’s August Interview Really About McCabe’s Spygate Role?

December 19, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

A few days ago, on Dec. 13, we pointed out that a footnote contained within a legal filing by the team of former national security adviser Michael Flynn related not to the Jan. 24, 2017, interview of Flynn, but instead referenced an FBI interview of FBI agent Peter Strzok and his partner—likely Joseph Pientka.Continue Reading

New FBI 302 Document Appears to Reveal Interview With Agents—Not Flynn

December 14, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Note: This post was written on Dec. 13, 2018, prior to the December 14, 2018 release of the Flynn Documents. The documents showed the theory presented below to be accurate.

The Michael Flynn memorandum in aid of sentencing was filed on Dec. 11, following the long-awaited Dec. 5 sentencing memorandum filed by special counsel Robert Mueller.

As previously noted, Mueller recommended no jail time for Flynn, noting his “substantial cooperation and other considerations.”

There were several items of note within the newly released documents.Continue Reading

Government Can’t Prove Wolfe Leaked Classified Carter Page FISA

December 14, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

On Dec. 11, two new documents were released in the case of former security director for the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, James Wolfe.

The first was the U.S. government’s sentencing memorandum. The second was the defendant’s (Wolfe) sentencing memorandum. Both documents provided new details of Wolfe’s case.Continue Reading

Comey’s Testimony: Truth or Lies?

December 12, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Key revelations from former FBI director’s testimony

The recent congressional testimony by former FBI Director James Comey has caused no shortage of outrage over his lack of recollection and ongoing deflections.

But lost within that outrage have been a number of important facts that were actually communicated during his testimony.

Comey’s interview was notably not under oath, but he was required by law to answer questions from Congress truthfully, which has suddenly gained material weight after special counsel Robert Mueller prosecuted former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen, for lying to Congress.Continue Reading

Nine Days in May: The Quiet Struggle Between Rosenstein and McCabe

December 8, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

On Dec. 7, 2018, CNN published an article discussing events in the eight days following the May 9, 2017, firing of former FBI Director James Comey by President Donald Trump. Comey was fired after a recommendation letter written by Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, titled Restoring Public Confidence in the FBI, was delivered to the president.

The CNN article was a rehash of two prior articles from the New York Times and the Washington Post that claimed Rosenstein had discussed wiretapping Trump, though CNN did provide increased emphasis on the fact that then-Acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe opened an obstruction of justice investigation into Trump in the days following Comey’s firing.

Left out of the CNN article, however, are a number of critical facts, not the least of which is that much of what was being described came from memos written by McCabe, who is now the focus of a grand jury investigation.Continue Reading

Flynn’s Sentencing Memorandum Reveals New Investigations

December 6, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Special counsel Robert Mueller’s long-awaited sentencing memorandum in the case of Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, who had pleaded guilty to one count of lying to the FBI, was finally made available on Dec. 4. Notably, Mueller recommended no jail time for Flynn, noting his “substantial cooperation and other considerations.”

Of particular note were the specific items Flynn was cooperating on with the special counsel, as outlined in the sentencing memorandum.Continue Reading

The Common Thread Behind Four Investigations

December 1, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

If anyone tells you they are tired of nothing happening in regards to ongoing investigations, perhaps they should take a closer look at a number of events that have transpired over the last two days.

In a matter that caused no small amount of worry and consternation among supporters of President Trump, the Daily Caller reported on Nov. 29 that the FBI had raided the home of whistleblower, Dennis Nathan Cain.Continue Reading

Is Mueller Probe of Manafort Actually Looking Into Russian Oligarch Deripaska?

November 21, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Russian billionaire who hired Christopher Steele in 2012 previously interacted with FBI’s Andrew McCabe and DOJ’s Bruce Ohr in quest for visa into US

Paul Manafort is the subject of two criminal trials, one in Virginia and one in Washington.

The Virginia trial is related to various financial crimes, including tax evasion, bank fraud, and money laundering, while the Washington trial is related to violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, money laundering, and witness tampering.Continue Reading

The Rosenstein Memo

November 13, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein appointed former FBI Director Robert Mueller on May 17, 2017, as special counsel “to investigate Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election and related matters.”

Rosenstein, on Aug. 2, 2017, secretly issued Mueller a revised Scope of Investigation & Definition of Authority memo that remains heavily redacted. The full purpose of this memo remains unknown.Continue Reading

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Jeff Carlson is a CFA® charterholder.

He worked for 20 years as an analyst and portfolio manager in the High Yield Bond Market. He holds degrees in finance and economics.

He can be found on X (Twitter) at @themarketswork or on Substack at Truth Over News

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