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The President’s Press Conference & the Real Initiation of the Leak Investigation

June 9, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

No one is entitled to surreptitiously fight their battles in the media by revealing sensitive government information. – AG Jeff Sessions

The indictment of former Senate Intelligence Committee staffer and long-time Security Director for the Committee, James Wolfe, is a welcome event. His indictment and arrest was the culmination of  a lengthy investigation.Continue Reading

Missing Timeline from Papadopoulos Statement of Offense Hides Millian

June 7, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

There are two legal version of events relating to George Papadopoulos.

One from the July 28, 2017 Affidavit signed by FBI Agent Robert M. Gibbs (Gibbs Version). Gibbs notes this interview is recorded. It is not clear that Gibbs is conducting the interview. There are at least two FBI Agents present.

One from October 5, 2017 Statement of the Offense signed by Robert Mueller – undersigned by Jeannie S. Rhee, Andrew D. Goldstein and Aaron S.J. Zelinsky – The Special Counsel’s Office (Mueller Version).

To the casual eye these documents appear to provide a relatively similar version of events. But there are some differences.Continue Reading

Update to the Inspector General Report Release

June 7, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

There are two ways to do something…the right way, and again – Navy SEAL saying

The Inspector General’s Report will now be released on June 14, 2018. The Inspector General will testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee on June 18, 2018.

Note: This is the first time Inspector General Horowitz has provided a hard date for release of his Report. Previously, everyone has been forced to infer release dates based on testimony scheduling.Continue Reading

The Pending IG Report & Strzok Texts

June 6, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

6-7-18 UPDATE:

Grassley’s office says DoJ Inspector General IG report on presidential election will be released on June 14. Inspector General Horowitz will testify before Senate Judiciary Cmte on June 18

— Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) June 7, 2018

The Inspector General’s Report should be released imminently. Anytime between now and Friday – absent further postponement of the Inspector General’s scheduled testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee.

Examining the Inspector General’s First Report on Justice Department and FBI Actions in Advance of the 2016 Presidential Election is currently scheduled for June 11, 2018 at 2:00pm EST.Continue Reading

What Do We Know About George Papadopoulos

June 5, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

There’s been a lot of speculation about the role of George Papadopoulos. Especially in light of new information covered yesterday.

Initially, I was convinced that Papadopoulos was a nothing more than a pawn in a much larger game. But as new information and a continuation of ever-increasing coincidences came forth, I began to reassess that position.Continue Reading

The Strange Flight of George Papadopoulos

June 4, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

An older post of mine from December 15, 2017, The Inspector General’s Implied Oversight has been receiving some attention recently.

Several different points were made in the piece but three primary ones are as follows:

  1. IG Horowitz’s discovery of Page/Strzok texts happened on or before July 14, 2017.
  2. Horowitz formally began a new line of investigative pursuit on July 14, 2017.
  3. Horowitz informed Mueller that he was looking into his team on July 27, 2017.

Continue Reading

The Shifting Political Sands of Italy

June 3, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Many observers have noted that populism is inherent to representative democracy; after all, do populists not juxtapose ‘the pure people’ against ‘the corrupt elite’? – Cas Mudde

On April 25, 2017, I wrote the following words in an article titled The EU’s Two Intractable Issues & Election Anxiety:

Brussels is breathing a sigh of relief. Macron is heavily favored to win the runoff election according to polls.

But Brussels should not feel overly confident with this short-term respite. While Le Pen is likely to lose the runoff election, it’s telling that candidates from the French establishment parties were defeated.

Italy may be the true test for the European Union. Indeed, Italy may be the place where the fate of the European Union is decided.Continue Reading

A Hornet’s Nest Kicked – The Importance of Rogers’ March 2016 Discovery

June 1, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

On or shortly after March 9, 2016, NSA Director Rogers became aware of improper access to raw FISA data (FISA Court Ruling p. 83-84).Continue Reading

A Partial Surveillance Timeline

June 1, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

The following timeline may prove useful to some. It primarily focuses on events during 2016. It represents a small segment of a far larger timeline being compiled offline over the last year. I will update periodically.

The intent behind this specific timeline is to allow for an overview of events with a balanced level of detail. It is not comprehensive by design.Continue Reading

The Inspector General’s Pending Report

May 30, 2018 by Jeff Carlson, CFA

Phase I of the Inspector General’s Reports should be released within days.Continue Reading

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Jeff Carlson is a CFA® charterholder.

He worked for 20 years as an analyst and portfolio manager in the High Yield Bond Market. He holds degrees in finance and economics.

He can be found on X (Twitter) at @themarketswork or on Substack at Truth Over News

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